well, i think it's just a numbers game. Some franchise that is newer or has a hit installment recently will win.
There won't be enough nostalgia votes out there to push many of the older games past the first round. I can see Mike Tyson's Punch Out moving a bit deeper, but not any farther than round 3 unless some serious older upsets happen around it.
THE Luke Kuechly Super Collector
pending: w8lifter28 (customs), charmedfan92 (dvds)
Don't ask me how much I want to offer. Come with a price in mind. If I don't want it or think it's worth that, I will let you know.