well, i think it's just a numbers game. Some franchise that is newer or has a hit installment recently will win.
There won't be enough nostalgia votes out there to push many of the older games past the first round. I can see Mike Tyson's Punch Out moving a bit deeper, but not any farther than round 3 unless some serious older upsets happen around it.
THE Luke Kuechly Super Collector
pending: w8lifter28 (customs),