Quote:
Originally Posted by zepzoso
All the following calculations are going of the assumption that Cryptozoic is making 7000 boxes.
4 printing plates of the 67 base cards:
1 per 627 packs (contrary to checklist which states 1 per 864)
1 per 26 boxes
1 per 2.2 cases
25 Redemption cards of each Girls and Boys of The Big Bang Theory for a total of 50:
1 per 3360 packs
1 per 140 boxes
1 per 11.6 cases
7000 autographs (1 per box)
So now the big assumptions of how many each person signed:
Autograph Lineup
A1  Johnny Galecki
1. (100 Cards)1 per 5.8 cases
2. (150 Cards)1 per 3.9 cases
A2  Jim Parsons
1. (100 Cards)1 per 5.8 cases
2. (150 Cards)1 per 3.9 cases
A3  Kaley Cuoco
1. (100 Cards)1 per 5.8 cases
2. (150 Cards)1 per 3.8 cases
Odds of hitting one of the big 3 at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per 1.94 cases
Odds of hitting one of the big 3 at thie #2 autograph rate is 1 per 1.30 cases
A4  Simon Helberg
1. (150 Cards)1 per 3.88 cases
2. (200) Cards1 per 2.91 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per 1.3 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #2 autograph rate is 1 per .89 cases
A5  Kunal Nayyar
1. (150 Cards)1 per 3.88 cases
2. (200 Cards)1 per 2.91 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per .97 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #2 autograph rate is 1 per .69 cases
A6  Mayim Bialik
1. (200 Cards)1 per 2.91 cases
2. (250 Cards)1 per 2.33 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per .68 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #2 autograph rate is 1 per .53 cases
A7  Melissa Rauch
1. (200 Cards)1 per 2.91 cases
2. (250 Cards)1 per 2.33 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per .58 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #2 autograph rate is 1 per .43 cases
So you should hit 2 wardrobe autograph cards per case
A8  Aarti Man
(300 Cards)1 per 1.94 cases
A9  Kevin Sussman
(300 Cards)1 per 1.94 cases
A10  John Ross Bowie
(400 Cards) 1 per 1.46 cases

These were my calculations from earlier if you havent read through the entire post