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Old 02-04-2013, 09:34 AM   #268 (permalink)
zepzoso
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Originally Posted by zepzoso View Post
All the following calculations are going of the assumption that Cryptozoic is making 7000 boxes.

4 printing plates of the 67 base cards:

1 per 627 packs (contrary to checklist which states 1 per 864)
1 per 26 boxes
1 per 2.2 cases

25 Redemption cards of each Girls and Boys of The Big Bang Theory for a total of 50:

1 per 3360 packs
1 per 140 boxes
1 per 11.6 cases

7000 autographs (1 per box)

So now the big assumptions of how many each person signed:

Autograph Line-up

A1 - Johnny Galecki
1. (100 Cards)---1 per 5.8 cases
2. (150 Cards)---1 per 3.9 cases

A2 - Jim Parsons
1. (100 Cards)---1 per 5.8 cases
2. (150 Cards)---1 per 3.9 cases

A3 - Kaley Cuoco
1. (100 Cards)---1 per 5.8 cases
2. (150 Cards)---1 per 3.8 cases

Odds of hitting one of the big 3 at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per 1.94 cases
Odds of hitting one of the big 3 at thie #2 autograph rate is 1 per 1.30 cases

A4 - Simon Helberg
1. (150 Cards)---1 per 3.88 cases
2. (200) Cards---1 per 2.91 cases

Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per 1.3 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #2 autograph rate is 1 per .89 cases

A5 - Kunal Nayyar
1. (150 Cards)---1 per 3.88 cases
2. (200 Cards)---1 per 2.91 cases

Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per .97 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #2 autograph rate is 1 per .69 cases

A6 - Mayim Bialik
1. (200 Cards)---1 per 2.91 cases
2. (250 Cards)---1 per 2.33 cases

Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per .68 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #2 autograph rate is 1 per .53 cases

A7 - Melissa Rauch
1. (200 Cards)---1 per 2.91 cases
2. (250 Cards)---1 per 2.33 cases

Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #1 autograph rate is 1 per .58 cases
Odds of hitting one of the above combined at the #2 autograph rate is 1 per .43 cases

So you should hit 2 wardrobe autograph cards per case

A8 - Aarti Man
(300 Cards)---1 per 1.94 cases


A9 - Kevin Sussman
(300 Cards)---1 per 1.94 cases


A10 - John Ross Bowie
(400 Cards)--- 1 per 1.46 cases
These were my calculations from earlier if you havent read through the entire post
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