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Old 05-04-2013, 12:26 AM   #943 (permalink)
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Cleveland, OH
Posts: 4,160

The Non-Auto odds make no sense at all. You can't triple the odds on those without adjusting elsewhere. Hobby/Retail would have to be SIGNIFICANTLY better than previous years to account for this difference.

The AUTO odds don't look bad if you can assume that the two missing autos are inserts or parallels that we don't yet know about. They are close enough to last year's odds to make sense, but not without a key component being added to make up for the 2 missing autos.

If these Jumbo odds are in fact correct, then Hobby will have to be absolutely loaded this year.
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