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Old 05-04-2013, 11:27 AM   #983 (permalink)
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Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 17,359

Originally Posted by rutgersjpm View Post
We'll see what happens, but I have a feeling that you're exaggerating how "watered down" the set is. At the end of the day, a solid prospect auto is a solid prospect auto. Top 5 prospects will command close to triple digits and anyone in the top 25 should get you more than $30. Your average collector isn't analyzing print runs the way some of us here do. Byron Buxton is mashing, his card will be worth $. I see lots of current and future value in this years list, which is why I'm amped. Not to mention the fact that 50% this year's RC auto list can be considered legitimate hits. Lots of auto's wasted last year on players no one gives a crap about.
But I don't think you're taking into consideration that for triple digit prices to happen, you need low print runs, and massive demand.

Jorge Soler plays for the Cubs; a good collectors team. When Bowman Chrome came out, the first week his autos we're hovering at $100. Once it was realized just how many of them there we're, they went all the way down to $40 and they currently sit in the $50 range.

Now take Buxton. Add another 600 autos to the already oversaturated Jorge Soler market and figure out where his prices will go after a week or two. Not to mention that there is still a lot of Bowman Chrome left unopened from 2012 ... and the majority of Bowman '13 will be ripped in the first 10 days.

Do you think that 2,100 Buxton base chrome autos will actually command $100 a piece ... for a total of $2,100,000 invested in the kid across the hobby / just on base autos?

I don't think so. I think you'll see $125 chrome auto prices for the first few dozen, then $100 chrome autos for the next 50 ... and then on this very day next month, you'll pick them up for $60 a piece at the very maximum. (And even that's high I think)
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