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Old 05-06-2013, 12:09 PM   #1094 (permalink)
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: MN
Posts: 5,087

Originally Posted by NeedChapmans View Post
So now that we know the Hobby Odds, we can figure out how many cases we're produced based on the autos print run. Let's take Blue. As the odds in Jumbo were 1:99 packs and we knew 4,750 cases of Jumbo will be produced, that means all Jumbo cases will contain 4,606 Prospect Blue Autos. The total number of Blue autos printed (42*150) is 6,300 ... that means Hobby cases will contain the remaining 1,694 Blue autos (some held back for replacements so number below will be slightly inflated).

As a blue auto falls just under one per two cases ... that makes for 3,400 Hobby cases produced. So 3,400 Hobby cases / 4,750 Jumbo cases ... here's what we've got for Base auto print run.

1551 base autos per player in Jumbo / 613 base autos per player in Hobby. Total print run of base autos ... 2,164. Let's say Topps holds back 64 for replacements. 2,100 Base Autos per prospect.
Seems logical to me.

Do they usually have more jumbo cases than hobby? I thought it was usually the other way around by a substantial margin.

This would mean around 8,150 cases produced total.
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