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Old 11-17-2012, 11:21 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default 2012 Bowman Draft Prospect Auto Price Predictions

what's your predictions on the price of a base auto on these guys? Here are my guesses.

Albert Almora (30)
Austin Aune (10)
Andrew Heaney (8)
Addison Russell (30)
Brian Johnson (8)
Bruce Maxwell (5)
Courtney Hawkins (25)
Corey Seager (18)
Chris Stratton (15)
David Dahl (30)
D.J. Davis (8)
Deven Marrero (15)
Gavin Cecchini (15)
Joey Gallo (40)
James Ramsey (8)
Keon Barnum (5)
Kevin Gausman (35)
Kevin Plawecki (8)
Kyle Zimmer (25)
Lewis Brinson (12)
Lucas Sims (15)
Max Fried (18)
Mitch Haniger (5)
Mitch Nay (5)
Marcus Stroman (10)
Matthew Smoral (8)
Michael Wacha (20)
Mike Zunino (40)
Nolan Fontana (5)
Nick Travieso (12)
Nick Williams (10)
Paul Blackburn (8)
Pat Light (8)
Richie Shaffer (15)
Steve Bean (5)
Stryker Trahan (12)
Shane Watson (8)
Ty Hensley (20)
Tyler Naquin (8)
Tyrone Taylor (5)
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Old 11-17-2012, 11:23 AM   #2 (permalink)
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joey gallo= tied for the most expensive
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Old 11-17-2012, 11:25 AM   #3 (permalink)
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I'll gladly pick up as many cards of my guys as I can at that price.
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Old 11-17-2012, 11:25 AM   #4 (permalink)
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I doubt there are multiple base autos selling for 35+ IMO
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Old 11-17-2012, 11:29 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Jaypers View Post
I'll gladly pick up as many cards of my guys as I can at that price.
Do you think my guesses are low?
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Old 11-17-2012, 11:29 AM   #6 (permalink)
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I'll gladly pick up as many cards of my guys as I can at that price.
I'm surprised you haven't put up your guesses yet Jaypers.
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Old 11-17-2012, 11:31 AM   #7 (permalink)
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I'm surprised you haven't put up your guesses yet Jaypers.
That's not my thing.
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Old 11-17-2012, 12:04 PM   #8 (permalink)
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I think that is a decent list. Should be some go for a bit more and some a bit less. I am working on my own list too. The prep work and anticipation is awesome isn't it?
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Old 11-17-2012, 12:16 PM   #9 (permalink)
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I'd be thrilled if most of these were selling this low...
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Old 11-17-2012, 12:17 PM   #10 (permalink)
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My computer/BO is messed up at the moment...double post.
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Last edited by lambeauleap87; 11-17-2012 at 12:22 PM.
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Old 11-17-2012, 12:44 PM   #11 (permalink)
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I'm thinking Fontana is undervalued, but that may be the case actually.
Fontana is one of the last players left whose value was hurt by his presence in 2010 products via the deal MLB had with Team USA. You can buy about 15 different Fontana USA autos from 2010 for under $10.
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Old 11-17-2012, 01:04 PM   #12 (permalink)
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I'm surprised you haven't put up your guesses yet Jaypers.
JP (and others) do a lot of work to get a leg up on the competition and I don't blame him for keeping his picks to himself.

Some of the prices seem a little high other than the rush of the first day auctions. My guess is that just like any other "rookie" product there will be a number of cards that will go for under $5 within a week. The "experts" will pick up many steals during the winter and you will see their results in 2+ years. Mike Trout being a good example of this...
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Old 11-17-2012, 01:12 PM   #13 (permalink)
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I'm thinking Fontana is undervalued, but that may be the case actually.
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Old 11-17-2012, 02:32 PM   #14 (permalink)
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After the original rush goes down, all of your prices over $19 are too high except one are too high. If Gallo was $40 bucks then I would Pass. Too many other options.
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Old 11-17-2012, 02:34 PM   #15 (permalink)
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JP (and others) do a lot of work to get a leg up on the competition and I don't blame him for keeping his picks to himself.

Some of the prices seem a little high other than the rush of the first day auctions. My guess is that just like any other "rookie" product there will be a number of cards that will go for under $5 within a week. The "experts" will pick up many steals during the winter and you will see their results in 2+ years. Mike Trout being a good example of this...
I certainly didnt buy enough of Trout but the one regular and one refractor auto together were about 40 bucks.
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Old 11-17-2012, 02:39 PM   #16 (permalink)
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I agree I think Zunino and Gallo will be the two top guys this year in draft
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Old 11-17-2012, 02:47 PM   #17 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by C&M Sports Memorabil View Post
JP (and others) do a lot of work to get a leg up on the competition and I don't blame him for keeping his picks to himself.

Some of the prices seem a little high other than the rush of the first day auctions. My guess is that just like any other "rookie" product there will be a number of cards that will go for under $5 within a week. The "experts" will pick up many steals during the winter and you will see their results in 2+ years. Mike Trout being a good example of this...
Yea except Trout was never $5 or under. Hell When EEE came out his autos were selling in thirty dollar range. I know because I pulled and sold them lol big mistake
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Old 11-17-2012, 03:39 PM   #18 (permalink)
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Yea except Trout was never $5 or under. Hell When EEE came out his autos were selling in thirty dollar range. I know because I pulled and sold them lol big mistake
and that would be true. My example of Trout was more about studing the prospect field, knowing who to buy immediately and then knowing when to sell. My guess is there will be several investors that are buying-up autos of prospects that others pass over only to make a great profit 2-3 years down the road.

Of course the other side of the tracks will also show up. Investors paying way too much for a prospect and losing their shirt because the guy ends up being an AA players and retiring at the age of 27.

So goes the market...
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Old 11-17-2012, 05:00 PM   #19 (permalink)
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No way almora and hawkins are that close, either hawkins is way high or almora is way low
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Old 11-17-2012, 05:03 PM   #20 (permalink)
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Javier Baez's 2011 BCDP AUTO sells for about $35 delivered, and nobody in this set should be selling for as much as he does (in a perfect world). That being said, most of these estimates are probably pretty close. I think Gausman, Dahl, and Russell settle in closer to the $25 range, with Wacha and Marrero closer to $10. I think Hawkins with his athleticism will attract some more prospectors and he should settle in at $35-$40. Time will tell.

Shhhhhh, I need to stock up on his autos...... Look away people.... Nothing to see here..... Move along !!!
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Old 11-17-2012, 05:53 PM   #21 (permalink)
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Javier Baez's 2011 BCDP AUTO sells for about $35 delivered, and nobody in this set should be selling for as much as he does (in a perfect world). That being said, most of these estimates are probably pretty close. I think Gausman, Dahl, and Russell settle in closer to the $25 range, with Wacha and Marrero closer to $10. I think Hawkins with his athleticism will attract some more prospectors and he should settle in at $35-$40. Time will tell.
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Old 11-17-2012, 06:01 PM   #22 (permalink)
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There are going to be a lot of disappointed case breakers with this. This years draft was real weak and I don't see prices on most of these guys breaking what the OP estimates. Maybe the first week or so you will see better prices, but they will shrink down pretty quickly.
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Old 11-17-2012, 06:09 PM   #23 (permalink)
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I appreciate the OP's optimism, but has anyone ever seen any year's draft product that didn't have $1-3 autos in it??? No reason to believe this will be any different!
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Old 11-17-2012, 06:40 PM   #24 (permalink)
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I appreciate the OP's optimism, but has anyone ever seen any year's draft product that didn't have $1-3 autos in it??? No reason to believe this will be any different!
These are auto prices at released.
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Old 11-17-2012, 06:40 PM   #25 (permalink)
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There are going to be a lot of disappointed case breakers with this. This years draft was real weak and I don't see prices on most of these guys breaking what the OP estimates. Maybe the first week or so you will see better prices, but they will shrink down pretty quickly.
I hope some of these drop.
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