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Old 10-16-2013, 10:52 PM   #76 (permalink)
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Ken Giles!!! Touching 100 and has control
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Old 10-17-2013, 09:12 AM   #77 (permalink)
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Sammy solis pitching well this fall
The Nats have had great representation so far this year!
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Old 10-18-2013, 08:08 AM   #78 (permalink)
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The Nats have had great representation so far this year!


Matt Purke continued that trend, looked fantastic last night.

4 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 7 K's
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Old 10-18-2013, 09:38 AM   #79 (permalink)
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Aaron Sanchez headlines the list of Disappointing Players from the AZL in Keith Law's Insider post...yikes.
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Old 10-18-2013, 09:48 AM   #80 (permalink)
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Aaron Sanchez headlines the list of Disappointing Players from the AZL in Keith Law's Insider post...yikes.
Any chance you could list the other 9?
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Old 10-18-2013, 10:00 AM   #81 (permalink)
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Any chance you could list the other 9?
On Monday, I wrote about players I saw last week in the Arizona Fall League who made positive impressions on me, some of whom caused me to improve my own evaluations of those players over where they were before my trip.

Today I'll look at the other side, 10 players who didn't meet my expectations, and in some cases who'll slide down my prospect rankings as a result. I've also appended notes on other players of interest who didn't fit squarely in either category.

Aaron Sanchez | RHP | Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays' top prospect had an up-and-down year around minor injuries and a failed experiment with a sinker, but Toronto could at least look at his premium stuff and feel confident that he was advancing toward a spot near the top of their major league rotation. Unfortunately, Sanchez's delivery has gone backward in the past year, with a shorter-than-ever stride and a very upright release that causes his fastball to stay up and hurts his command of all pitches.

An upright torso at release is also correlated with higher risk of arm injuries, so it's something the Jays and Sanchez need to try to correct. Sanchez's stuff remains ace quality -- 92-96 mph on the four-seamer, a plus curveball at 76-79, a hard changeup from 85-89 -- but he has to let his athleticism and looseness on the mound show up in the delivery.

Taylor Lindsey | 2B | Los Angeles Angels
Lindsey has outstanding feel for hitting, with consistently high contact rates thanks to quick hands and a direct path to the ball, but other aspects of his game were lacking in Arizona last week.

At the plate, he's gone from a very short stride to no stride at all, so his swing is all hands and arms and he's cutting off any chance to hit for power. At second base he showed below-average hands and range in either direction, and he's a fringy runner even at full speed. He's just 21 years old and his stats to date are solid for a player his age, but I see a lot of untapped potential here, especially on offense.

Alen Hanson | IF | Pittsburgh Pirates
Hanson looked great in BP, with plus bat speed and average to slightly above-average power from both sides of the plate. But once the games started, the plan to get him out was simple and easy for pitchers to execute: fastballs up, sliders down.

He punched out five times in the 10 plate appearances I saw, and it wasn't fluky given how lost he looked. He was actually fine at shortstop, which has long been the concern with him, but he couldn't have looked worse at the plate.

Stephen Piscotty | OF | St. Louis Cardinals
Like Hanson, Piscotty sported a 50 percent strikeout rate in the first week of play, all with me in the stands, wishing a pox on the Stanford coaching staff for what they did to his swing. (I left and he went 4-for-4 on Monday, so maybe he just found me intimidating.)

Piscotty shows pull and opposite-field power in BP, but once the games started, he looked discombobulated at the plate -- trying to go the other way with fastballs in, trying to pull everything on the outer half, swinging and missing when he wasn't rolling over. As I said above, these are brief impressions based on the first week of play, so I'm not suggesting everyone in the Piscotty Appreciation Society should run for the exits. It's just not what I wanted to see.

Tommy La Stella | 2B | Atlanta Braves
It's not so much that anything was wrong with La Stella but that you're banking on one tool here, the hit tool. He's a fringy defender at best and a below-average runner, and I don't foresee much power with a no-load swing and a flat finish.

He can hit, though -- his hand-eye coordination is very good, and the swing is simple and hard, like a quick hack at the ball that could produce line drives and hard ground balls, but few hits likely to leave the park. That might be enough for Atlanta fans sick of the Dan Uggla Show -- just two more years, folks! -- but it's more average regular than star.

Mitch Haniger | OF | Milwaukee Brewers
Another one in the "fine, but not great" category, Haniger disappointed with his lack of visible speed or athleticism. I consistently got run times that put him at grade 40 or worse (that is comfortably below average), and twice caught him losing his focus, including one potential infield single that he lost because he was watching the fielder rather than running to the bag.

Haniger, a supplemental first-round pick in 2012 who lost most of last summer to a knee injury, already lost some luster with an underwhelming half-season in high Class A this year, and this doesn't help.

Andrew Chafin | LHP| Arizona Diamondbacks
Chafin regularly hit 95 as a starter (every seventh day) at Kent State, but the stuff has backed up, and he was 88-91 with a maybe-average changeup last week in Arizona.

A supplemental first-round pick in 2011, Chafin seems certain to end up in the pen between his current velocity and low strikeout rates in the regular season.

Keyvius Sampson | RHP | San Diego Padres
Another guy who left his fastball at home before heading to Arizona, Sampson was 89-91, from a higher slot than in the past but without an average secondary pitch.

With no life on the fastball due to the raised arm slot, he's fly ball-prone, and I don't see how he'll miss bats in the majors unless he gets back into the mid-90s or finds a better breaking ball.

Kyle Crick | RHP | San Francisco Giants
It's still power stuff, 92-95 mph with at least an average slider, but when you walk the first three guys you face in your first AFL outing of the year, no one is going to walk away thinking "We gotta trade for that guy."

He settled down a little in the second inning, throwing more strikes but not locating effectively. I know a lot of scouts who believe Crick has to be a reliever because there's enough effort in his delivery to preclude him having average command. If this was all I'd ever seen from Crick I'd be hard-pressed to disagree.

John Barbato | RHP | San Diego Padres
When I saw Barbato he walked four in two-thirds of an inning of work, so the Javelinas had to go to their bullpen in the first inning instead of the third or fourth. His performance in relief this year was adequate, but he struggled when the Pads shifted him to high Class A Lake Elsinore's rotation in late July.

They might want to just return him to the pen, where his 92-94 fastball and mid-80s slider could make him an interesting middle or setup man, rather than trying to start a guy who can't throw enough strikes for it.
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Old 10-18-2013, 10:03 AM   #82 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by nadeauman33 View Post
Any chance you could list the other 9?
Aaron Sanchez (Jays)
Taylor Lindsey (Angels)
Alen Hanson (Pirates)
Stephen Piscotty (Cards)
Tommy La Stella (Braves)
Mitch Haniger (Brewers)
Andrew Chafin (D'Backs)
Keyvius Sampson (Padres)
Kyle Crick (Giants)
John Barbato (Padres)

He's pretty hard on most of the guys, maybe even reaching a bit. Just thought it was an interesting read.
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Old 10-18-2013, 10:03 AM   #83 (permalink)
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Any chance you could list the other 9?
And here's who looked best:

I miss living in Arizona for many reasons, but one is the loss of easy access to the Arizona Fall League. This year, I just had a four-day, eight-game trip to scout the many prospects in that circuit. I did get to see every team's BP and two-thirds of the league's pitchers, so while it wasn't as much as I would have liked, it was enough to form some quick impressions and start some fresh evaluations.

Today I give you notes on the players who, in one way or another, stood out to me in a positive light, in most cases raising my opinions of those players. Two stipulations here:

1. I didn't see everybody, so the omission of any player isn't an indictment of his performance
2. The Fall League is a great place to scout, but sometimes players are tired or rusty from the layoff since the end of the minor league season, so the looks aren't always ideal.

That said...

Various Chicago Cubs prospects: Albert Almora, Kris Bryant, and Jorge Soler all look great right now, with Soler visibly bigger and stronger than he was when I saw him in the Arizona Rookie League last year. I missed Almora's four-hit performance Wednesday, but saw him get two hits Thursday, including a hard-hit triple to the left-center gap off Blue Jays reliever John Stilson (who hit 96 mph, but was getting squared up left and right). Bryant homered twice after a three-hit performance on Opening Day, squaring up 97 like it was 87 and showing huge, raw power in BP. Soler looked the most improved of the three, but that's also a function of how advanced the other guys were coming into the fall. Bryant, by the way, played third base twice and DH'd once in the games I saw.

Addison Russell, SS, Oakland: I saw Russell draw a nine-pitch walk and a six-pitch walk, smoke a double over the right-fielder's head on a right-hander's fastball, hit a hard liner to right off a 99 mph fastball from Alex Meyer, and play some great defense. This includes one play to his right on a ball half of major league shortstops wouldn't have gotten, after which he uncorked a perfect throw to nail the runner. Russell was the second-youngest player on any AFL Opening Day Roster, after Almora, but he didn't look his age in his approach or in his actions, and he still gives every indication that he'll be a shortstop in the long run.

Marcus Stroman, RHP, Toronto: Stroman did Stroman things, as usual, working from 94-96 in his first outing and 93-94 in his second, showing a plus slider and an above-average cutter. He flashed a changeup, but that pitch is his least effective, and I think the lack of plane on his fastball is going to make the quality and breadth of his off-speed stuff even more important than it would be for a 6-2 right-hander who could generate more downhill plane. This year's success of Sonny Gray, another diminutive right-hander, may give the Blue Jays more confidence that Stroman can remain a starter, although Gray has been better at generating ground balls in pro ball than Stroman has so far.

Andrew Heaney, LHP, Miami: Heaney showed a solid-average fastball at 90-92 with two plus-secondary pitches, a 79-81 slider with sharp tilt, and a 78-81 mph changeup with good arm speed and downward fade. He commanded all three pitches, even the slider, when aiming at a right-handed hitter's back foot, and he isn't that far from reaching the majors and having his owner refer to him as “the left-hander.”

Mookie Betts, 2B, Boston: I mentioned Betts in my post last week as one of a few players who stood out in the first two days of Fall League play, and got some questions from readers after I posted a Vine clip of his BP. Betts does move his hands a lot before starting his swing, but it's just a trigger and happens so early that it's not a real concern for me. Once he loads, he's mostly direct to the ball with good hip rotation and loft in his finish that explains the 15 homers this year, and could mean 20 or so down the road. He's a plus runner who showed plenty of range to his right when I saw him, and even his outs were hard-hit. Others I mentioned in last week's update who would also fit in this column are St. Louis outfielder James Ramsey (more power than I previously thought he had) and Baltimore southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez (more polished than when I saw him in June/July).

Tony Wolters, C, Cleveland: I don't have much new to offer on Wolters' bat, but in the one game where I saw him catch, he looked good behind the plate -- not “good for a guy who's only been catching for a year-plus,” but actually good, receiving fine and throwing well (accurate rather than strong). It won't take much offense to make him an everyday catcher if this is really where his defense sits after one full season at the position.

Tyler Matzek, LHP, Colorado: I was a huge Matzek fan in his 2009 draft year, but delivery changes and a general loss of command (likely related) have led to a disappointing pro career to date, with reduced velocity at one point and poor command throughout. The good news here is that Matzek still looks like a future big leaguer, but perhaps not the one I'd hoped he'd be. He's got a plus fastball at 92-94 and plus slider at 83-84, hard with the depth of a curveball, which at the very least would make him a lefty-specialist type out of the pen. He flashed a few straight changeups and was struggling to get the pitch down; that pitch will be the separator for him, as he walked more right-handed batters this year in Double-A than he struck out, and if he finds a viable changeup, he's a potential impact reliever and might still have a chance to start.

Kyle Parker, 1B/OF, Colorado: Parker had a mediocre first half in Double-A, but a much stronger second half, and it looks like playing full-time has helped him speed up his development as a hitter. Parker's swing is pretty simple, with a modest load and a very short path to the ball; there's not a ton of loft in his follow-through, but the overall path reminds me a little of Paul Goldschmidt's, where the power comes from hard contact and plenty of extension after it. He showed good opposite-field power in BP, and with a bomb on Opening Night at Salt River, the kind of right-handed power that's hard to find right now at any level. The one negative was that he struggled with pitchers who could change speeds on him, although that may also improve with more reps. I was skeptical at this time last year that Parker could be the Rockies' long-term first baseman, but that looks much more likely now.

Yorman Rodriguez, OF, Cincinnati: Rodriguez had a modest breakout year in the Reds' system, playing well enough in Bakersfield to earn a promotion to Double-A, although most of his production in the Cal League was off left-handers. In Arizona, he at least showed that he's advanced beyond “tools goof” status, with better at-bats than I'd seen in the past, but similar results, chasing fastballs up and sliders down and away after he'd managed to work the count for a few pitches. He's an above-average runner with a 60 arm and good bat speed, so the elements are there for him to develop into a solid regular – but these incremental changes in approach can't be the last.

Jake Barrett, RHP, Arizona: The former ASU closer was 94-97 with a power slider at 86-88 that, when he finished it, was nearly unhittable. He's a max-effort guy who's had lots of elbow trouble in the past, so it's in Arizona's interest to move him to the majors as quickly as possible, but at least the two pitches are major league ready right now.

Kenny Giles, RHP, Philadelphia: Giles sat at 97, ranging from 95 to 99, in one inning of work; although his fastball has no life, it's hard and gets in on hitters very quickly. He threw a few sliders at 86-87, one bad, then one tight and short to hit the inside corner and strike out a right-handed batter. He's not huge, and his brief minor league history is one of below-average command and control (plus two oblique strains this year), but many successful big-league relievers looked like this and gained that missing grade of accuracy to become impact guys in the 8th or 9th innings.
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Old 10-18-2013, 10:21 AM   #84 (permalink)
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Is there any way to look up defensive stats for the AFL without going through all the game logs? With Hedges throwing out another two runners last night (A. Russell & A. Almora) I'm thinking his CS totals have to be way over 50% this year.
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Old 10-18-2013, 11:03 AM   #85 (permalink)
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You two guys are awesome! Thanks for posting!
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Old 10-18-2013, 11:11 AM   #86 (permalink)
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Def thanks for posting and boy is this guys a moron, lol. Krick looks so bad huh? Scorpions' Crick gets back on track | MiLB.com News | The Official Site of Minor League Baseball Piscotty he mentioned went 4-4, he ain't making any bottom 10 lists to me, lol.
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Old 10-18-2013, 11:18 AM   #87 (permalink)
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Def thanks for posting and boy is this guys a moron, lol. Krick looks so bad huh? Scorpions' Crick gets back on track | MiLB.com News | The Official Site of Minor League Baseball Piscotty he mentioned went 4-4, he ain't making any bottom 10 lists to me, lol.
Make sure to pay attention to WHEN he wrote that. I'm guessing it was before Crick's second start and Piscotty's 4-4 game
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Old 10-18-2013, 01:15 PM   #88 (permalink)
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Make sure to pay attention to WHEN he wrote that. I'm guessing it was before Crick's second start and Piscotty's 4-4 game
Had to be before Cricks 2nd start....when he's on he is as good as they come. And also I don't know how you can say a 20 year old is never going to have control based on delivery.
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Old 10-18-2013, 02:39 PM   #89 (permalink)
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Make sure to pay attention to WHEN he wrote that. I'm guessing it was before Crick's second start and Piscotty's 4-4 game
Well he acknowledged the 4-4 game so it wasn't before that. Maybe bf Cricks start but that's his bottom 10... thats like the worst 10 guys in the AFl, thats just weird.
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Old 10-18-2013, 02:48 PM   #90 (permalink)
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Well he acknowledged the 4-4 game so it wasn't before that. Maybe bf Cricks start but that's his bottom 10... thats like the worst 10 guys in the AFl, thats just weird.
Its not a "bottom ten", its a comparison of what he saw from those players compared to what he expected to see. He isn't saying they are the worst players there, he is saying that in the small sample size of games he saw, these things stood out to him from a development standpoint from some top prospects
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Old 10-18-2013, 02:49 PM   #91 (permalink)
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Like seeing the Tony Wolters love there. I didn't know what to think when he changed positions since he was a solid middle infield prospect, but it sounds like things are going nicely for him.
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Old 10-18-2013, 03:44 PM   #92 (permalink)
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Its not a "bottom ten", its a comparison of what he saw from those players compared to what he expected to see. He isn't saying they are the worst players there, he is saying that in the small sample size of games he saw, these things stood out to him from a development standpoint from some top prospects
Fair enough but its still f'd up that bc of that small sample size he'd say this as quote above "Today I'll look at the other side, 10 players who didn't meet my expectations, and in some cases who'll slide down my prospect rankings as a result."
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Old 10-18-2013, 04:00 PM   #93 (permalink)
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Fair enough but its still f'd up that bc of that small sample size he'd say this as quote above "Today I'll look at the other side, 10 players who didn't meet my expectations, and in some cases who'll slide down my prospect rankings as a result."
I agree 100% that it's absurd to put too much emphasis on one game from a starter, especially when it's the first one after a long layoff. Crick's last start before his 1st AFL start was 9/13, so some rust should be expected after nearly a full month off
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Old 10-18-2013, 04:01 PM   #94 (permalink)
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Fair enough but its still f'd up that bc of that small sample size he'd say this as quote above "Today I'll look at the other side, 10 players who didn't meet my expectations, and in some cases who'll slide down my prospect rankings as a result."
Agreed, and as a big holder of Piscotty I was like ok Law, so just throw out his whole season and his next 3 games, where he is now in the top 10 of hitting in the league.
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Old 10-18-2013, 06:08 PM   #95 (permalink)
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2 jacks for Bryant today.

Love this kid. Sure hope he doesn't get popped for anything illegal.
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Old 10-18-2013, 07:00 PM   #96 (permalink)
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2 jacks for Bryant today.

Love this kid. Sure hope he doesn't get popped for anything illegal.

Maybe I'm dreaming since Bowman Scout has already dispelled the rumor, but I'd love it if he turned out to be a chrome auto in BDP afterall.
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Old 10-18-2013, 07:16 PM   #97 (permalink)
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2 jacks for Bryant today.

Love this kid. Sure hope he doesn't get popped for anything illegal.
Kid is good. Seems like a really nice down to earth kid as well. Wrigley isn't far for him.
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Old 10-18-2013, 07:59 PM   #98 (permalink)
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Maybe I'm dreaming since Bowman Scout has already dispelled the rumor, but I'd love it if he turned out to be a chrome auto in BDP afterall.
Good to see you here, Ryan!! Don't be trying to be all covert and sh** with the new ID!!!!
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Old 10-18-2013, 08:01 PM   #99 (permalink)
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2 jacks for Bryant today.

Love this kid. Sure hope he doesn't get popped for anything illegal.
2 official home runs
3 unofficial home runs

He supposedly got screwed on his 1st one and they ruled it a ground rule double.
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Old 10-19-2013, 01:41 AM   #100 (permalink)
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Went to the Glendale @ Scottsdale game tonight. Anyone else go? I saw about 7 or 8 people with binders full of cards trying to get autographs and was wondering if any of them were member on here.
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