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01282014, 05:53 PM  #1 (permalink) 
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2014 Topps Retail odds
I compiled the odds for 2014. Since I can't embed google sheets, here's the link to the full 2014 Retail Pack odds:
2013 Topps Series One Retail quickodds  Packodds.com I only have numbers for the regular retail packs (post your packs in the contest thread if you want to see more SKUs!) but I did a quick manual comparison of comparable cards from in regular retail packs. There may be some others that crosswalk but without seeing the hobby odds I'm not going to assume just yet. Some numbers with the 2013 cards on the left, 2014 on the right: (Full 2013 numbers for most SKUs are here)
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XL5: Home of the "smarty pants" comments. Want: 2010 Allen & Ginter N43 relics of Pujols, Markakis, Howard. Want: Konerko highend, looking for any Konerko 2012 Topps Series 1 & Topps Chrome 1/1s Last edited by XL5; 01282014 at 05:59 PM. 
01282014, 11:22 PM  #5 (permalink) 
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Hobby should give a better indication but yeah, looks like lower production.
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XL5: Home of the "smarty pants" comments. Want: 2010 Allen & Ginter N43 relics of Pujols, Markakis, Howard. Want: Konerko highend, looking for any Konerko 2012 Topps Series 1 & Topps Chrome 1/1s 
01312014, 05:18 PM  #7 (permalink) 
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Join Date: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,317

Hey guys,
I'm trying to figure out the approximate print run of Trajectory autographs, which has 40 different players in the subset. I know the numbers above are retail, so not sure how to account for Hobby, but basically if I interpret the numbers above correctly I calculate ~180 of each player's Trajectory auto assuming they were all printed equally. Does this sound right? math: total cards per set: 330 Platinum parallel odds: 1 per 20,600 packs total print run: 6,798,000 packs trajectory subset: 40 cards estimated odds: 1 per 960 packs total number of packs needed to get full set: 38,400 packs Divided total print run by 38,400 = 177.03 could use some sound math minds to review my logic.. and thanks XL5 for posting the odds!
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Collecting Pedro Martinez, Mike Piazza, Trevor Bauer, Clayton Kershaw and Dodgers prospects! 
01312014, 06:25 PM  #8 (permalink) 
Member

You need to consider Jumbo where you get 6 autos a case with 56 of them being trajectory. In Hobby alone there is 986700 packs (330 clear x10 per player x 299 pack odds), divide by odds for auto of 568 there are 1737 trajectory autos in hobby cases / 40= 43 per player in Hobby. Jumbo is harder but go with 5 per case 1:11 odds but not sure the print run maybe 4000 cases gives you another 500 per player.
But then some guys have maybe 20 or 25 and others 1000+
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Collect Cavs, Browns, Indians 
02012014, 03:33 PM  #10 (permalink)  
Banned

Quote:
On a side note, funny it seems just about ALL the top players are redemptions. Maddux, Wright, Harper, Trout, Ripken...all redemption cards. Thanks Topps 

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