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Old 11-15-2013, 01:43 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Michigan State vs Columbia only 22.5?? ...easy money?

Why is this line only 22.5?

theyre playing in spartyland as well. i dont get it. on another note IM ALL IN!

got 479.83 sitting in my 5dimes account, putting every last penny on msu tonight, wish me luck. but should be an easy double up. i say msu is up more than 22.5 after 20 minutes alone.
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:04 PM   #2 (permalink)
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It can be hard to win a college basketball game by more than that

Mainly because let's say they're up 30 halfway through the second half, Izzo is going to play their walkons the rest of the game against the other teams starters and there is a good chance it will settle around a 20 point game even though MSU will have dominated the game more than the score shows
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:23 PM   #3 (permalink)
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It can be hard to win a college basketball game by more than that

Mainly because let's say they're up 30 halfway through the second half, Izzo is going to play their walkons the rest of the game against the other teams starters and there is a good chance it will settle around a 20 point game even though MSU will have dominated the game more than the score shows
the 12th man on msu is probably better than the starters on columbia, but anyway thats not entirely true.

izzo doesnt bench his starters until the under 8 min timeout, if that. and that being said theres no guarantee columbia leaves their starters in a blowout themselves.

if u look at the boxscore of msu's first game (a 40 pt win) they didnt go more than 9 deep in their bench, and only 2 bench players played more than 20 minutes (dawson and trice) and those 2 bench players are part of izzos normal rotation anyway.

trust me here, this is a 30 pt win WORST CASE, if i had more id bet more.
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:25 PM   #4 (permalink)
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I'm on Mich as well. GL
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:29 PM   #5 (permalink)
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wld this fit in the "LOCK" category?
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:30 PM   #6 (permalink)
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looks like the line has moved a bit higher so if you caught it at 22 instead of 24 or higher---great call---

hopefully those SPARTY boys arent thinking about Fridays parties before saturdays football game---


GL with bet


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Old 11-15-2013, 02:33 PM   #7 (permalink)
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wld this fit in the "LOCK" category?
there is no such catagory lol, but this is one of my more confident picks of the last few months indeed. i see the line jumped to 24 now, good thing i got it at 22.5 around noon, but id cut it off at 29.5, this is a 30 pt win without issue.

i say if its 29.5 still take msu.
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:35 PM   #8 (permalink)
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they only came out as 22.5 favorites for a reason, Columbia is not that bad. Good luck
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:39 PM   #9 (permalink)
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they only came out as 22.5 favorites for a reason, Columbia is not that bad. Good luck
they are that bad.
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:42 PM   #10 (permalink)
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I apologize now if I laugh at you later.
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:43 PM   #11 (permalink)
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I apologize now if I laugh at you later.
u wanna make a side bet involving cards? ill take -26.5 and either bet paypal a little or cards
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Old 11-15-2013, 02:57 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Anyone that bets their whole bankroll on an "all in" scenario should stop betting. When it looks too easy it probably is.

BOL, leave yourself an angle though when MSU is down at the half.
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Old 11-15-2013, 03:00 PM   #13 (permalink)
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u wanna make a side bet involving cards? ill take -26.5 and either bet paypal a little or cards
I agree with ya on the game just will laugh if you lose your all in bet. You don't go all in unless you know. They should cover however they will play their bench.
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Old 11-15-2013, 03:08 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Vegas doesnt just make lines, everything is for a reason. They are coming off a game vrs #1. You think they going to be jumping out of the building tonight? No, they are not robots. Watch and learn the game, vegas been in business for a long time. Mich St could cover no problem, but in this type of game I guarantee you more than less vegas wins, cause every joe schmo is on Mich State tonight
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Old 11-15-2013, 03:11 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Quote:
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Vegas doesnt just make lines, everything is for a reason. They are coming off a game vrs #1. You think they going to be jumping out of the building tonight? No, they are not robots. Watch and learn the game, vegas been in business for a long time. Mich St could cover no problem, but in this type of game I guarantee you more than less vegas wins, cause every joe schmo is on Mich State tonight
agreed. they want you to put all of your bankroll on msu...they don't just pull these lines out of their ass... doesn't mean they won't cover obviously but I'd be cautious of this bet.
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Old 11-15-2013, 03:16 PM   #16 (permalink)
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Think I'd rather take the 11 points on LA-Lafayette tonight against Arkansas, but I'm not a betting man.
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Old 11-15-2013, 03:43 PM   #17 (permalink)
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I'll take Columbia and the 22.5 points
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Old 11-15-2013, 04:32 PM   #18 (permalink)
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I followed OP with a tiny tiny wager.. just to get me to watch the game tonight lol
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Old 11-15-2013, 04:48 PM   #19 (permalink)
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Here is my pick for you guys, just for fun to see how it goes.

Charlotte +5 @ Cleveland, NBA

Line came out at -6.5 which I felt was low (when I say that, I mean I feel vegas sided with the bobcats a bit, cause it could easily have been -8 or -8.5)

Now since it came out at 6.5, it has been bet down to 5. Lets see how it goes. I have a feeling bobcats will be winning for the majority of the game.
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Old 11-15-2013, 05:13 PM   #20 (permalink)
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I'll take the under on this.
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Old 11-15-2013, 05:32 PM   #21 (permalink)
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lol @ non-gamblers giving gambling advice
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Old 11-15-2013, 06:37 PM   #22 (permalink)
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Quote:
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lol @ non-gamblers giving gambling advice
i'm not a non-gambler...this isn't a bad bet IMO but thats also what vegas wants you to do. its certainly not a lock...
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Old 11-15-2013, 07:05 PM   #23 (permalink)
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lol @ non-gamblers giving gambling advice
Oh you know me? I been doing this for 20+ years. I use to be just like you until I realized you cant win looking at a line and instantly saying wow that is easy lets bet it. lol

Im just trying to be cool not trying to make you look bad, sorry, you asked the question and I answered my opinion, I thought thats what you wanted
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Old 11-15-2013, 07:18 PM   #24 (permalink)
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MSU wins 72 - 52. Ivy league plays half court even when losing by 20. vegas is smarter then us all.
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Old 11-15-2013, 07:22 PM   #25 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EricMetcalf21 View Post
Here is my pick for you guys, just for fun to see how it goes.

Charlotte +5 @ Cleveland, NBA

Line came out at -6.5 which I felt was low (when I say that, I mean I feel vegas sided with the bobcats a bit, cause it could easily have been -8 or -8.5)

Now since it came out at 6.5, it has been bet down to 5. Lets see how it goes. I have a feeling bobcats will be winning for the majority of the game.
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