Blowout Cards Forums
Super Break

Go Back   Blowout Cards Forums > GENERAL INFORMATION AREA > Group Case Breaks > Completed/Closed Group Case Breaks

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 12-10-2011, 02:02 AM   #151 (permalink)
Banned
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: NJ
Posts: 1,600
Send a message via MSN to frankferry
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tman View Post
PP sent for my spots and the #1 draft spot
lol good luck with that #1 draft spot bro
frankferry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 03:34 AM   #152 (permalink)
Member
 
smillz300's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: IN
Posts: 2,247
Default

Payment sent for my 5 spots! Thanks
smillz300 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 09:12 AM   #153 (permalink)
Member
 
dimer10's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Haworth, NJ
Posts: 1,880
Default

Payment sent, thanks.
dimer10 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 09:34 AM   #154 (permalink)
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: MASS
Posts: 1,607
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by frankferry View Post
np, i think chris_ac will pick it up
thanks for understanding, and i look foward to some of your future breaks
Prospect_Man is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 02:42 PM   #155 (permalink)
Banned
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: NJ
Posts: 1,600
Send a message via MSN to frankferry
Default

Well we temporarily put blowout out of stock of 2011 bowman chrome. Does anyone know exactly how many cases they made this year. I know they stated that they made approximately %50 of what they made last year so its a shorter print run so im assuming around 5,000 cases. Also does anyone know how many cases were broken into ? I'm assuming about %40-%50.

I'm just wondering because I've been breaking cases of this myself and we already did a 4 case break and now we're doing another 5 case break.. I'm trying to calculate the odds of us hitting something sick like a harper superfractor auto'd or non auto'd or like the harper canary. There is tons of of superfractors and canarys that havent been pulled yet so I think we have a good chance of hitting big. But then again there is no guarantee but I'd still like to calculate the odds.

I'm really excited with this break and I'm suprised it didnt fill up sooner considering most of the big hits $500+ are still out there and the monsters are still out there $2000+++
frankferry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 02:45 PM   #156 (permalink)
Member
 
fitch123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Roseville, CA
Posts: 7,220
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by frankferry View Post
Well we temporarily put blowout out of stock of 2011 bowman chrome. Does anyone know exactly how many cases they made this year. I know they stated that they made approximately %50 of what they made last year so its a shorter print run so im assuming around 5,000 cases. Also does anyone know how many cases were broken into ? I'm assuming about %40-%50.

I'm just wondering because I've been breaking cases of this myself and we already did a 4 case break and now we're doing another 5 case break.. I'm trying to calculate the odds of us hitting something sick like a harper superfractor auto'd or non auto'd or like the harper canary. There is tons of of superfractors and canarys that havent been pulled yet so I think we have a good chance of hitting big. But then again there is no guarantee but I'd still like to calculate the odds.

I'm really excited with this break and I'm suprised it didnt fill up sooner considering most of the big hits $500+ are still out there and the monsters are still out there $2000+++
if we blindly assumed there were 2500 cases left, and 3 Harper Superfractors/Canaries to be pulled our odds with 5 cases would be...

1 in 166.67



Thats like picking red or black on roulette and getting it right 7 times in a row, or like picking a number between 1 and 166 and guessing it right off the bat...
__________________
fitch123 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 03:04 PM   #157 (permalink)
Member
 
TxRangersfan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Dallas
Posts: 1,685
Default

"So you're saying there's a chance"
TxRangersfan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 04:07 PM   #158 (permalink)
Banned
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: NJ
Posts: 1,600
Send a message via MSN to frankferry
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fitch123 View Post
if we blindly assumed there were 2500 cases left, and 3 Harper Superfractors/Canaries to be pulled our odds with 5 cases would be...

1 in 166.67



Thats like picking red or black on roulette and getting it right 7 times in a row, or like picking a number between 1 and 166 and guessing it right off the bat...
Quote:
Originally Posted by TxRangersfan View Post
"So you're saying there's a chance"
Well if ya add in the other superfractors auto'd / non auto'd / canarys of the good players that still havent been pulled - our odds would greatly increase to about 1:10

I just hope the cases B.O. is sending me are similar to the ones in the last break where will pulled 1 harper ref auto , 2 harper base autos , gold turner au , orange hicks au

It's possible to do that but unlikely.. For some reason im expecting 1 monster hit and some average stuff , at least 1 harper base auto ( we better pull at least 1 harper base au lol )
frankferry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 04:22 PM   #159 (permalink)
Member
 
BigSeph's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 694
Default

I'd say that as time goes on, the prospects of monster hits goes up.

Haven't heard of anyone pulling the Lawrie/Hosmer/Harper auto'd supers, the non-auto'd supers, or various reds of those guys.

Topps isn't known for their collation skills. It wouldn't surprise me to see one distributor wind up with a few hot cases.

I have seen a ton of Harper autos on the market though, I wonder what percent of those have already been pulled. I'd say more of a % of Harper autos have been pulled than % of potential cases.

I wouldn't mind picking up an extra slot or two if people can't pay, btw.

One day someone will scour eBay and keep a running tally of "what's left" in situations like this, i.e. 4 of 5 Hosmer red autos remain, 1 of 5 Hosmer base refs remain, etc.. and then use that to calculate readjusted risk on outstanding cases.
__________________
Val Nichushkins. That's all I collect.

Last edited by BigSeph; 12-10-2011 at 04:24 PM.
BigSeph is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 04:29 PM   #160 (permalink)
Member
 
fitch123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Roseville, CA
Posts: 7,220
Default

Do we have a deadline for payments?
__________________
fitch123 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 08:04 PM   #161 (permalink)
Banned
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: NJ
Posts: 1,600
Send a message via MSN to frankferry
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fitch123 View Post
Do we have a deadline for payments?
yea fitch , sunday night ( technically monday morning - thats when ill search for replacements if need be )

btw did u want to pick up prospect_man's spot? chris_ac said to ask u first

its 1 slot
frankferry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 08:55 PM   #162 (permalink)
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 1,310
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by frankferry View Post
yea fitch , sunday night ( technically monday morning - thats when ill search for replacements if need be )

btw did u want to pick up prospect_man's spot? chris_ac said to ask u first

its 1 slot
Guys, RIGHT OUT STRAIGHT! Going under the knife Wed. (rotator cuff), trying to finish Christmas shopping. Will pay tomorrow.
Troybuilts is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 08:59 PM   #163 (permalink)
Banned
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: NJ
Posts: 1,600
Send a message via MSN to frankferry
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Troybuilts View Post
Guys, RIGHT OUT STRAIGHT! Going under the knife Wed. (rotator cuff), trying to finish Christmas shopping. Will pay tomorrow.
Np Troy and man good luck with the surgery. Your gonna be doped up for a good week hehe
frankferry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 09:09 PM   #164 (permalink)
Banned
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: NJ
Posts: 1,600
Send a message via MSN to frankferry
Default

I have 2 slots from people who dropped out - ( prospect man (1) and papilis (1) ) - I PM'd fitch if he wanted em , if he takes them, i have word from jon_21, troybilts,wilson all stating their are paying tommorow - so if fitch grabs these 2 slots or if someone else does if fitch doesnt want them and the others pay we can get the draft randomized for you guys order tommorow after all payments are received. After the random - u may all B/S/T

Last edited by frankferry; 12-10-2011 at 09:11 PM.
frankferry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-10-2011, 09:51 PM   #165 (permalink)
Member
 
BigSeph's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 694
Default

I'll pay promptly if there are any open slots, just PM me frank. Already have 4, wouldn't mind winding up with 6.
__________________
Val Nichushkins. That's all I collect.
BigSeph is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 08:31 AM   #166 (permalink)
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 1,310
Default

Payment sent
Troybuilts is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 10:38 AM   #167 (permalink)
Member
 
nhsportsguy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: The beautiful resort town of Wells, ME
Posts: 4,964
Default

I'm still in for an extra spot, Pm me and I'll send payment right over if you need it!
__________________
Hobby Shop Owner in Wells, ME
nhsportsguy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 12:27 PM   #168 (permalink)
Member
 
gr33d's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Central NJ
Posts: 1,345
Default

I'd do another slot as well... Lemme know
gr33d is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 07:38 PM   #169 (permalink)
Member
 
cowboyzqna's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Moundridge KS
Posts: 3,588
Default

I would take another spot if one frees up.
__________________
Bid Low Bid Often
Flawless Victory
cowboyzqna is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 07:56 PM   #170 (permalink)
Member
 
nhsportsguy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: The beautiful resort town of Wells, ME
Posts: 4,964
Default

Reserve payment just sent for my third spot!
__________________
Hobby Shop Owner in Wells, ME
nhsportsguy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 09:02 PM   #171 (permalink)
Member
 
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 952
Default

Payment sent for my slot.
Jon_21 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 09:11 PM   #172 (permalink)
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Wilmington, NC
Posts: 2,919
Default

payment sent.
thanks,
Andrew
wilsonsingles is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 09:13 PM   #173 (permalink)
Member
 
fitch123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Roseville, CA
Posts: 7,220
Default

sent for the 2 backup spots, thanks
__________________
fitch123 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 09:18 PM   #174 (permalink)
Member
 
fitch123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Roseville, CA
Posts: 7,220
Default

lets start the random!
__________________
fitch123 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-11-2011, 09:18 PM   #175 (permalink)
Member
 
nhsportsguy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: The beautiful resort town of Wells, ME
Posts: 4,964
Default

Looks like that's everyone?!?!

Let's see the random!
__________________
Hobby Shop Owner in Wells, ME
nhsportsguy is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:16 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Search Engine Friendly URLs by vBSEO
Copyright 2013, Blowout Cards Inc.