10 Cases of 2012 Bowman Chrome - Player Draft

[alpine]

I'll bet a dozen Krispy Kreme donuts that a complete BC checklist will be found by early Monday. Monday night is going to be a busy day for Mr. Houdini.

[mgugs46]

Sorry guys - settin up for my brothers bachelor party.

Pick # 2 - Nick Castellanos auto slot

Someone PM next

[12bizzles]

I PM'ed dimer10 who has #3. I'm at #4 and then it's dimer10 again at #5.

[Tai]

Well, since things are getting started I will give it another shot. I have picks 58 & 59 in this break and blue wave wrappers in part 2. If anyone wants to move down lmk via PM.

[Bruvydsb]

Looking to buy a pick in the 100 range, PM with price, thx.

[houdini]

[otmack2o]

Contact the person who posted the box image and ask for a checklist!

[carl2001]

NICE!

Anyway i have picks part 1: 29, 108, 143, 212
part 2: 194

looking to trade up or for more spots

[Bruvydsb]

I have acquired #137 from ichirox

He will confirm

[ichirorox]

Originally Posted by Bruvydsb

I have acquired #137 from ichirox

He will confirm

Confirmed!!!

[houdini]

Originally Posted by otmack2o

Contact the person who posted the box image and ask for a checklist!

Haha, it was Topps!

[frozenntimesports]

According to my contact at Topps they are going to post the remainder of the checklist on their FB page on Monday... hopefully it will be in the AM.

[houdini]

Originally Posted by KaraandMelliesDaddy

According to my contact at Topps they are going to post the remainder of the checklist on their FB page on Monday... hopefully it will be in the AM.

We will have it before then.

[frozenntimesports]

Originally Posted by houdini

We will have it before then.

Excellent.

[houdini]

I am working really hard on this for you: (With TONS of help from others)

Prospects:

Adam Conley - 2nd round, 72nd overall, 2011 (Marlins)
Andrew Chafin - 1st round, 43rd overall, 2011 (Diamondbacks)
Avisail Garcia - non drafted free agent, 2007 (Tigers)
Billy Hamilton - 2nd round, 57th overall, 2009 (Reds)
Bobby Crocker - 4th round, 136th overall, 2011 (Athletics)
Boss Moanaroa - non drafted gree agent, 2008 (Red Sox)
Brad Miller - 2nd round, 62nd overall, 2011 (Mariners)
Chase Davidson - 41st round, 1240th overall, 2011 (Astros)
Christian Villanueva - non drafted free agent, 2008 (Rangers, now Cubs)
Cody Buckel - 2nd round, 72nd overall, 2010 (Rangers)
Felipe Rivero - non drafted free agent, 2008 (Rays)
Felix Sterling - non drafted free agent, 2009 (Indians)
Frazier Hall - 16th round, 495th overall, 2011 (Angels, now Diamondbacks)
J.R. Graham - 4th round, 146th overall, 2011 (Braves)
Jake Marisnick - 3rd round, 104th overall, 2009 (Blue Jays)
James Paxton - 4th round, 142nd overall, 2010 (Mariners)
John Hellweg - 16th round, 499th overall, 2008 (Angels, now Brewers)
Jonathan Griffin - 21st round, 634th overall, 2011 (Diamondbacks)
Jonathan Singleton - 8th round, 257th overall, 2009 (Phillies, now Astros)
Jorge Soler - undrafted free agent (Cubs)
Jose Campos - non drafted free agent, 2009 (Mariners, now Yankees)
Josh Rutledge - 3rd round, 107th overall, 2010 (Rockies)
Kevan Smith - 7th round, 231st overall, 2011 (White Sox)
Marcell Ozuna - undrafted free agent (Marlins)
Matt Szczur - 5th round, 160th overall, 2010 (Cubs)
Miles Head - 26th round, 798th overall, 2009 (Red Sox - now Athletics)
Nick Castellanos - 1st round, 44th overall, 2010 (Tigers)
Nomar Mazara - undrafted free agent (Rangers)
Pratt Maynard - 3rd round, 103rd overall, 2011 (Dodgers)
Ravel Santana - undrafted free agent (Yankees)
Ronald Guzman - undrafted free agent (Rangers)
Rougned Odor - undrafted free agent (Rangers)
Scooter Gennett - 16th round, 496th overall, 2009 (Brewers)
Sean Nolin - 6th round, 186th overall, 2010 (Blue Jays)
Shawon Dunston Jr. - 11th round, 339th overall, 2011 (Cubs)
Tony Cingrani - 3rd round, 114th overall, 2011 (Reds)
Trevor May - 4th round, 136th overall, 2008 (Phillies)
Tyler Austin - 13th round, 415th overall, 2010 (Yankees)
Tyler Skaggs - 1st round, 40th overall, 2009 (Angels, now Diamondbacks)
Williams Jerez - 2nd round, 81st overall, 2011 (Red Sox)
Zeke DeVoss - 3rd round, 98th overall, 2011 (Cubs)


I will post updates in the OP.

[The700Level]

The Prospect list is awesome thanks!

Whoever gets Matt Szczur - 5th round, 160th overall, 2010 (Cubs)
I would be interested in slot or buying some cards. He is another South Jersey guy; from Lower Cape May.

LMK,

John

[houdini]

From Jaypers:

Prospect
Ref - 1:4
Blue - 1:19
Purple - 1:24
Gold - 1:96
Orange - 1:192
Red - 1:961
Super - 1:3946
Plate - 1:986

Prospect Variation (no idea what this means) - 1:475

Autographed Prospect
Base - 1:19
Ref - 1:75
Blue - 1:252
Gold - 1:755
Orange - 1:1510
Purple - 1:3250
Red - 1:6500
Super - 1:32500
Plate - 1:8125

Autographed Rookie
Base - 1:1545
Blue - 1:3810
Gold - 1:7515
Orange - 1:15175
Purple - 1:32500
Red - 1:65000
Super - 1:325500
Plate - 1:81400

[houdini]

I am officially changing the hit list!

The rookie autos are 1 in 7 cases. I am making all rookie autos as 1 spot per break.

I will make room.

If anyone posted a pick prior to this message and wants to change it, you can (in order).

[houdini]

41 Prospect Autos
1 spot all rookie autos (should be 1 in 7.15 cases - but no guarantees)
110 Prospects (includes variations)
50 Rookies
5 Legends in the Making insert lots (2 cases each)
1 Legends in the Making autos (all 10 cases)
5 Franchise All-Stars insert lots (2 cases each)
1 Franchise All-Stars dual autos (all 10 cases)
10 Futures Game insert lots with autos and relics (1 per case)
10 Cases of vet base
10 Cases of vet parallels
(extra hits - Bowman Black autos - to be randomed amongst any hitless auto spots)

[theacox]

Damn. Was hoping the black autos would stay a draftable spot. Thanks for all your work so far, though, houdini

[Tai]

I'm not a stat guy but I think if you calculate the combined odds of the RC auto's(base+color) it goes to around 1 in 5 or so. Can anyone confirm this? Definitely a top 10 spot at 1 in 5 imo.

[nhsportsguy]

Originally Posted by Tai

I'm not a stat guy but I think if you calculate the combined odds of the RC auto's(base+color) it goes to around 1 in 5 or so. Can anyone confirm this? Definitely a top 10 spot at 1 in 5 imo.

1545 / 216 packs per case = 7.15 cases per base RC auto.

[Tai]

Originally Posted by nhsportsguy

1545 / 216 packs per case = 7.15 cases per base RC auto.

I think you can add the individual probabilities for the color to get a combined rate. Not a stat or math guy so maybe someone else knows.

[houdini]

Originally Posted by Tai

I'm not a stat guy but I think if you calculate the combined odds of the RC auto's(base+color) it goes to around 1 in 5 or so. Can anyone confirm this? Definitely a top 10 spot at 1 in 5 imo.

Sure, so lets say that we pull 2 autos. There are 4 names, so if both cards are different, then 2 spots go hitless. If they are both the same guy, then 3 spots go hitless.

Gotta figure the Harper is rarer than Middlebrooks or Bauer, right? So what if we pull 2 Bauer autos? Is that a top 10 spot?

Granted, it is a good spot, but I felt I had to do it once I saw the odds.

[uberfatty]

Originally Posted by houdini

From Jaypers:

Autographed Prospect[/B]
Base - 1:19
Ref - 1:75
Blue - 1:252
Gold - 1:755
Orange - 1:1510
Purple - 1:3250
Red - 1:6500
Super - 1:32500
Plate - 1:8125

Comparison from prior years (pulled from another post on the forum):

2010 Bowman Chrome: Autographed Chrome Prospect:Ref 1:105, Blue 1:352, Gold 1:1,073, Orange 1:2,200, Red 1:10,600, Super 1:48,000 Press Plate 1:12,000
2011 Bowman Chrome: Autographed Chrome Prospect:Ref 1:88, Blue 1:295, Gold 1:915, Orange 1:1,900, Red 1:unknown Super 1:36,000 Press Plate 1:unknown


Looks like this year is just a smidge easier to get color than last year! Hopefully they fixed the 100% Veteran or 100% Prospect color cases too...