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Old 01-17-2013, 10:36 PM   #276 (permalink)
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Picks 35 160 209 221 available for sale or trade. Love wheeling and dealing.
typo! *208
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Old 01-17-2013, 10:39 PM   #277 (permalink)
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#78 is up for grabs for multiple lower value picks...
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Old 01-17-2013, 10:57 PM   #278 (permalink)
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Slot #152 sold to Skipscards
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Old 01-17-2013, 10:57 PM   #279 (permalink)
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typo! *208
Lol!

That's right. 208 duh.
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Old 01-17-2013, 10:57 PM   #280 (permalink)
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Slot #152 sold to Skipscards
Confirmed!
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Old 01-17-2013, 10:58 PM   #281 (permalink)
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So, now I've got 35 152 160 208 221 for sale or trade.
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Old 01-17-2013, 11:26 PM   #282 (permalink)
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TRADE!!

grahamgdogg acquired pick #201 from me for pp, he will confirm, thanks.
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Old 01-17-2013, 11:29 PM   #283 (permalink)
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TRADE!!

grahamgdogg acquired pick #201 from me for pp, he will confirm, thanks.
confirmed. thanks!
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Old 01-17-2013, 11:33 PM   #284 (permalink)
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82 and 206 for sale.. pm any offers
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Old 01-17-2013, 11:47 PM   #285 (permalink)
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Picks 214 and 241 are now owned by grahamgdogg

Last edited by KarlM; 01-18-2013 at 12:25 AM.
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Old 01-18-2013, 12:38 AM   #286 (permalink)
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Picks 214 and 241 are now owned by grahamgdogg
confirmed thanks
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Old 01-18-2013, 02:18 AM   #287 (permalink)
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Looks like I lucked out this draft with getting #10 and 50 for my two spots. I would be willing to trade down from #50.
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Old 01-18-2013, 03:18 AM   #288 (permalink)
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82 available for multiple lower picks
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Old 01-18-2013, 03:34 AM   #289 (permalink)
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FLMARLIN gets 123 & 156

Jfray gets 82
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Old 01-18-2013, 03:40 AM   #290 (permalink)
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confirmed

FLMARLIN gets 123 & 156

Jfray gets 82
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Old 01-18-2013, 03:42 AM   #291 (permalink)
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123 and/or 156 both available in combination or separately for at least one additional pick
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Old 01-18-2013, 05:08 AM   #292 (permalink)
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Pick #39 and 171 for $35. Get yourself the #1 pick in a 5k break cheap? Firm on the selling point. Please pm me if interested
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Old 01-18-2013, 08:56 AM   #293 (permalink)
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Was talking to someone about the true value added by the Super Bowl promo and thought I would share...

I think some people are over-inflating the value of spots based on the chance at the gift card.

Each spot is 1/250th of the winnings, meaning each spot at most if we won every quarter is $28 ($7000/250).

Then factor in we only have a 5% chance of winning that and that means each spot adds $1.40 in value. You might be able to argue that we have better than 5 out of 100 chance of winning because our numbers are better. Even so, if you think we have a 10% chance of winning it adds $2.80 per spot.

I am guessing most spots after top 150 (that might be generous) you could pick up the cards for $1-2 on most sites.
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Old 01-18-2013, 10:00 AM   #294 (permalink)
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Was talking to someone about the true value added by the Super Bowl promo and thought I would share...

I think some people are over-inflating the value of spots based on the chance at the gift card.

Each spot is 1/250th of the winnings, meaning each spot at most if we won every quarter is $28 ($7000/250).

Then factor in we only have a 5% chance of winning that and that means each spot adds $1.40 in value. You might be able to argue that we have better than 5 out of 100 chance of winning because our numbers are better. Even so, if you think we have a 10% chance of winning it adds $2.80 per spot.

I am guessing most spots after top 150 (that might be generous) you could pick up the cards for $1-2 on most sites.

Love the analysis, no sarcasm, but most of us aren't, I'd guess, trying to SuperSystem our card collections. I'm just looking to get my PC guys, ammo to trade up, and if we win something, all the better.

I'll give anyone $5 for any pick over 150.

Thanks!
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Old 01-18-2013, 10:17 AM   #295 (permalink)
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Love the analysis, no sarcasm, but most of us aren't, I'd guess, trying to SuperSystem our card collections.
Just a habit from a finance guy of over analyzing everything
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Old 01-18-2013, 10:43 AM   #296 (permalink)
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So, when's the break?
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Old 01-18-2013, 11:23 AM   #297 (permalink)
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You guys can't understand how happy I am to be opening a product that has Travis Snider in it.

Houdini- PLease auto pick for me.

And if Travis Snider is available choose it for me and send if to my friend from the Great White North.
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Old 01-18-2013, 12:17 PM   #298 (permalink)
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Love the analysis, no sarcasm, but most of us aren't, I'd guess, trying to SuperSystem our card collections. I'm just looking to get my PC guys, ammo to trade up, and if we win something, all the better.

I'll give anyone $5 for any pick over 150.

Thanks!
haha I catch myself trying to calculate EV in breaks often.
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Old 01-18-2013, 12:39 PM   #299 (permalink)
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Willing to trade picks 77, 128, and 180 for a 20-40 pick. Send me a PM if interested.
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Old 01-18-2013, 03:24 PM   #300 (permalink)
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Will this break happen tonight?
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