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Old 01-14-2009, 12:16 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: WA
Posts: 1,977
Smile Possible SP Authentic Production Run: 2008 vs 2007

I did some calculations based on print runs as follows:

if
Level 1 are numbered to #/499 (based on a Mcfadden on sell sheet), contains 7 players
Level 2 are #/699, contains 11 players
Level 3 are #/899 (could be 999, but using 899 for now), contains 16 players

There will be:
952,200 packs
39,675 boxes
3,306 cases
26,450 total Auto patch rc

so,
Level 1 is 13.21% of production run
Level 2 is 29.07% .......
Level 3 is 53.38%........

so,
Level 1 has a 8.8% chance per box (=1.056 per case)
Level 2 has 19.4%......(=2.325 per case)
Level 3 has 36.3%......(=4.351 per case)


You should get 7.7 regular auto patches per case, 25.7% chance at a gold AU Patch, and 1.02% at a Logoman, per case.


SO, lets compare that to 2007 SP Authentic print runs

Level 1 are numbered to #/399, contains 10 players
Level 2 are #/725, contains 23 players

There were:
1,033,104 packs
43,046 boxes
3,587 cases
21,523 total Auto patch rc

so,
Level 1 is 18.54% of production run
Level 2 is 77.48% .......

so,
Level 1 has a 9.3% chance per box (=1.11 per case)
Level 2 has 38.7%......(=4.64 per case)



You should get 5.76 regular auto patches per case, 22.99% chance at a gold AU Patch, and .091% at a Logoman, per case.

Take it for what its worth, i did these calculations in a few minutes, so i might have made not think everything though. All the print numbers i got from either sell sheets, or checklist. So it looks like 2008 will be more limited than last years!

Last edited by Casebreaker; 01-14-2009 at 12:20 AM.
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Old 01-18-2009, 09:21 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Canton, Ohio
Posts: 1,918
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Casebreaker View Post
I did some calculations based on print runs as follows:

if
Level 1 are numbered to #/499 (based on a Mcfadden on sell sheet), contains 7 players
Level 2 are #/699, contains 11 players
Level 3 are #/899 (could be 999, but using 899 for now), contains 16 players

There will be:
952,200 packs
39,675 boxes
3,306 cases
26,450 total Auto patch rc

so,
Level 1 is 13.21% of production run
Level 2 is 29.07% .......
Level 3 is 53.38%........

so,
Level 1 has a 8.8% chance per box (=1.056 per case)
Level 2 has 19.4%......(=2.325 per case)
Level 3 has 36.3%......(=4.351 per case)


You should get 7.7 regular auto patches per case, 25.7% chance at a gold AU Patch, and 1.02% at a Logoman, per case.


SO, lets compare that to 2007 SP Authentic print runs

Level 1 are numbered to #/399, contains 10 players
Level 2 are #/725, contains 23 players

There were:
1,033,104 packs
43,046 boxes
3,587 cases
21,523 total Auto patch rc

so,
Level 1 is 18.54% of production run
Level 2 is 77.48% .......

so,
Level 1 has a 9.3% chance per box (=1.11 per case)
Level 2 has 38.7%......(=4.64 per case)



You should get 5.76 regular auto patches per case, 22.99% chance at a gold AU Patch, and .091% at a Logoman, per case.

Take it for what its worth, i did these calculations in a few minutes, so i might have made not think everything though. All the print numbers i got from either sell sheets, or checklist. So it looks like 2008 will be more limited than last years!

Can anyone confirm this? Prices Jumped on this and IMO shouldnt have. I know this is the time of year for stuff to jump but 100 bones is a bit much!
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