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Old 12-18-2008, 12:33 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default UD Ice /99 rookies

For any of the three most recent seasons, did the /99 rookies fall at a rate of one to a case or so? I know they upped the number total last season, so I assume 07/08 is the easiest to pull one. How impossible were they in 05/06?
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Old 12-18-2008, 06:29 AM   #2 (permalink)
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I'm not sure they even fell at 1:case, I'm thinking 1 to 3 cases more likely.
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Old 12-18-2008, 02:29 PM   #3 (permalink)
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One per three cases or so sounds about right. Plus there are only two years of Ice, they didn't have it in 06/07.
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Old 12-18-2008, 11:38 PM   #4 (permalink)
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One per three cases or so sounds about right. Plus there are only two years of Ice, they didn't have it in 06/07.
Duh, that never clicked that there was no 06/07. I assume 1:3 cases was 05/06. And 07/08?
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Old 12-19-2008, 12:21 AM   #5 (permalink)
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05-06 was closer to 1:9 cases
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Old 12-20-2008, 10:14 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by KaraandMelliesDaddy View Post
05-06 was closer to 1:9 cases
i remember somebody calculating that with the 6 rookies in 05/06 and the entire print run, it was 1:10 cases. pretty impossible but i managed to pull Corey Perry in a random box so I guess I must have been extremely lucky.

07/08 had something like 14 guys /99 so even if the production was the same, you'd have to assume 1:4 or so since there were more than twice the number of level 1 guys last year.

Last edited by screamingdc; 12-20-2008 at 10:16 PM.
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Old 12-21-2008, 01:13 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Lets make the calculation for 05/06 easy

/100 x6= 600
/1000 x 12= 12000
/2000 x 24= 48000
/3000 x 125= 370000 (!!!)
Total rc= 430,600

Assuming an even distribution 430600/600= 717

So roughly 1 in 717 rookies is one of the /99, with 4 per box, you'd have to open 717/4=179 boxes to get one, at 16 boxes per case that 1:11 cases.


EDIT: I used the 05/06 ice checklist on the UD website but I think they may have added cards from the rookie update set into the ice checklist so im not sure what was in the original release.

Last edited by anusinha; 12-21-2008 at 01:16 AM.
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Old 12-21-2008, 01:20 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Thanks for the info everyone...now I know how many cases to order...j/k.
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Old 12-21-2008, 02:11 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Thanks for the info everyone...now I know how many cases to order...j/k.
Yeah, zip. Buy the rookie card you want. If not, you can sell me one Ice rookie card of Mike Green.
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Old 12-25-2008, 01:41 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Thanks for the info everyone...now I know how many cases to order...j/k.
haha... i keep thinking i should pull the trigger on a case of 05/06 but it would be easier if i just bought the rc's separate. i mean, if you don't get a level 1 rc and your case hit is a patch/auto and all you have left is a bunch of jsy cards and spare /2999 rookies, it's not really worth it. even with perfect collation, to get all 6 rookies would take 66 cases.
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Old 12-25-2008, 09:24 PM   #11 (permalink)
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haha... i keep thinking i should pull the trigger on a case of 05/06 but it would be easier if i just bought the rc's separate. i mean, if you don't get a level 1 rc and your case hit is a patch/auto and all you have left is a bunch of jsy cards and spare /2999 rookies, it's not really worth it. even with perfect collation, to get all 6 rookies would take 66 cases.
Yeah, I happened two look at where some ended recently and they are much lower than where they peeked. Still hard to spend so much on a "plain" card when there are so many alternatives
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