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Search: Posts Made By: phil
Forum: BASEBALL Yesterday, 01:00 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 1,158
Posted By phil
Bought 2014 as cheap as $110 box before it dried...

Bought 2014 as cheap as $110 box before it dried up. Looking forward to repeat.
Forum: BASEBALL 08-25-2015, 06:51 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 1,052
Posted By phil
Walmart, not Target

Walmart, not Target
Forum: BASEBALL 08-24-2015, 11:47 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 1,643
Posted By phil
That would be cool, but the main problem with BC...

That would be cool, but the main problem with BC is that Topps insists on printing 8000+ cases when they should know the current market for it is less than 1/2 that.
Forum: BASEBALL 08-24-2015, 11:02 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 1,643
Posted By phil
announcement = product is not selling well

announcement = product is not selling well
Forum: BASEBALL 08-23-2015, 12:31 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 7,999
Posted By phil
It's up to the distributor when and where it...

It's up to the distributor when and where it makes it onto shelves.
Forum: BASEBALL 08-23-2015, 12:29 PM
Replies: 150
Views: 4,255
Posted By phil
A video of that would sell pretty well on the...

A video of that would sell pretty well on the internet
Forum: BASEBALL 08-23-2015, 10:48 AM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
Should note that 2015 will have more initial...

Should note that 2015 will have more initial demand than 2014 did because the general public is still way more involved in 2015 baseball than last year - there's still a bit of a Kris Bryant hype...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-23-2015, 10:46 AM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
On Hobby last 2 years cheapest internet price I...

On Hobby last 2 years cheapest internet price I saw was about $515/case.

On Jumbos 2013 were a little short-printed so never got really cheap. 2014 Jumbos I think internet price bottom was around...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-23-2015, 09:20 AM
Replies: 172
Views: 7,999
Posted By phil
actually Topps shipped ALL of it early (according...

actually Topps shipped ALL of it early (according to them in error) and then after the fact asked retail distributors not to sell it until the 19th. By the time distributors received the don't-sell...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 11:57 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 1,494
Posted By phil
Or maybe his injury-proneness extends to his...

Or maybe his injury-proneness extends to his brain :)
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 11:50 PM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
Some guy named Will just ordered 250 for some...

Some guy named Will just ordered 250 for some reason
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 10:09 PM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
Or 2013 for that matter. As terrible as that was...

Or 2013 for that matter. As terrible as that was it finally dried up and is way above cost now.
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 10:07 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 7,999
Posted By phil
Excell isn't intentionally losing money. $10 is...

Excell isn't intentionally losing money. $10 is factory cost not including other expenses involved in distribution and whatever Target's cut is.

It's actually possible this is Topps' fault for...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 10:01 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 1,494
Posted By phil
It's obviously real as he signed some Green and...

It's obviously real as he signed some Green and Orange refractors in identical gold ink, and this is the most likely scenario. Signed in gold first, then noticed it was almost invisible and signed in...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 08:37 PM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
Actually this is great news for wax investors...

Actually this is great news for wax investors willing to wait for it to bottom out. It's the type of product that will crash short term but ultimately go up long term.
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 06:39 PM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
needs 2012 Draft Correa autos

needs 2012 Draft Correa autos
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 05:57 PM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
Blame it on 2013 Bryant color causing 2014 to go...

Blame it on 2013 Bryant color causing 2014 to go up. Without those 2014 would still be $500/case and distributors would have balked at 2015, and Topps would have been forced to downsize.
Forum: BASEBALL 08-21-2015, 05:51 PM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
So approximately similar to last year, except...

So approximately similar to last year, except more Rookies some of which will be SSP
Forum: BASEBALL 08-20-2015, 09:02 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 7,999
Posted By phil
Target just takes a percentage of the sale price....

Target just takes a percentage of the sale price. The distributor Excell Marketing would be the one taking the loss (assuming the mispricing of the UPC is their fault).
Forum: BASEBALL BOX BREAKS 08-20-2015, 10:06 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 982
Posted By phil
was wondering if those were live

was wondering if those were live
Forum: BASEBALL 08-19-2015, 09:41 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 2,869
Posted By phil
Long-term demand vs. print run is looking pretty...

Long-term demand vs. print run is looking pretty good at the moment. Hopefully it holds up.
Forum: BASEBALL 08-18-2015, 01:56 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
You mean other than the Gold Kris Bryant?

You mean other than the Gold Kris Bryant?
Forum: BASEBALL 08-18-2015, 01:51 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Someone should tell them Orange base are in retail

Someone should tell them Orange base are in retail
Forum: BASEBALL 08-18-2015, 01:22 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Duffy will be in Update

Duffy will be in Update
Forum: BASEBALL 08-18-2015, 12:49 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Joc Purple auto and Bryant Gold base from same box

Joc Purple auto and Bryant Gold base from same box
Forum: BASEBALL 08-18-2015, 12:41 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Saying some color and Supers of the base SPs

Saying some color and Supers of the base SPs
Forum: BASEBALL 08-17-2015, 10:58 PM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
Depends on the print run

Depends on the print run
Forum: BASEBALL 08-17-2015, 07:54 PM
Replies: 246
Views: 14,066
Posted By phil
Noah Syndergaard 2015 Topps Chrome Green...

Noah Syndergaard 2015 Topps Chrome Green Refractor Auto 30 99 Autograph RC Mets | eBay...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-17-2015, 07:50 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 720
Posted By phil
blaster pack odds are probably figured on...

blaster pack odds are probably figured on 128/case (112 + 16) so 124 was pretty close :D

so yes retail print run is likely the equivalent of about 5000 blaster cases - in combined blasters/racks,...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-17-2015, 07:36 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 720
Posted By phil
blasters have 112 regular packs per case plus the...

blasters have 112 regular packs per case plus the 16 sepia packs
Forum: BASEBALL 08-17-2015, 07:31 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 720
Posted By phil
exact numbers I came up with in the previous...

exact numbers I came up with in the previous thread

retail I don't know the breakdown between racks/blasters, but thought probably between 4000-5000 blaster cases + racks
Forum: BASEBALL 08-17-2015, 02:44 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
maybe a bit, but inconsequential compared to the...

maybe a bit, but inconsequential compared to the monumental plus of it not being a redemption :flex:
Forum: BASEBALL 08-17-2015, 02:30 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Haven't seen this posted yet. Brent pulled first...

Haven't seen this posted yet. Brent pulled first KB from a blaster and it's live on-card -

Kris Bryant 2015 Topps Chrome Green Refractor Auto 01 99 Autograph RC Cubs | eBay...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-13-2015, 05:01 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Minor math error on my part, should be roughly...

Minor math error on my part, should be roughly 2479 Jumbo cases (if 2874 Hobby)
Forum: BASEBALL 08-13-2015, 04:00 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
It is odd, but the difference from what you would...

It is odd, but the difference from what you would expect is mostly in the non-color refractor odds. (5.3/Hobby case but only 3.6/Jumbo??)

Actual color autos should be roughly 4/Hobby case,...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-13-2015, 03:38 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
They pulled sort of the same thing in Finest. The...

They pulled sort of the same thing in Finest. The late addition base SP RC only had a regular refractor parallel /25 and no colors.
Forum: BASEBALL 08-13-2015, 03:35 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
If true then there are (approx.) 40 Rookie Auto...

If true then there are (approx.) 40 Rookie Auto Supers in Hobby, 15 in Jumbo, and the Jumbo print run is about 2288 cases.

So rounding down the combined Hobby/Jumbo print run is probably around...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-13-2015, 03:26 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Yes only orange base in retail

Yes only orange base in retail
Forum: BASEBALL 08-13-2015, 03:21 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Jumbos jumped at release last year because they...

Jumbos jumped at release last year because they were a non-presold last-minute surprise that nobody knew was coming. Once everyone figured out they weren't anything special compared to Hobby they...
Forum: BASEBALL 08-13-2015, 03:20 PM
Replies: 321
Views: 16,779
Posted By phil
Orange rookie autos 1:602 (IF they are Hobby only...

Orange rookie autos 1:602 (IF they are Hobby only as advertised) = 2874 Hobby cases

If they are also in Jumbos (??) the Hobby print run will be less obviously
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